【FFNN负荷预测】基于人工神经网络的空压机负荷预测(Matlab代码实现)

📋📋📋++本文目录如下:++🎁🎁🎁

目录

[💥1 概述](#💥1 概述)

[📚2 运行结果](#📚2 运行结果)

[2.1 算例1](#2.1 算例1)

[2.2 算例2](#2.2 算例2)

[2.3 算例3](#2.3 算例3)

[🎉3 参考文献](#🎉3 参考文献)

[🌈4 Matlab代码、数据、文章](#🌈4 Matlab代码、数据、文章)


💥1 概述

摘要:

空气压缩机系统约占美国和欧盟工业用电量的10%。由于许多研究已经证明了使用人工神经网络进行空压机性能预测的有效性,因此仍然需要预测空压机的电气负荷曲线。本研究的目的是预测压缩空气系统的电气负载曲线,这对于行业从业者和软件提供商开发更好的负载管理和前瞻调度程序的实践和工具很有价值。采用两层前馈神经网络和长短期记忆两种人工神经网络对空压机的电气负荷进行预测。对具有三种不同控制机构的压缩机进行了评估,总共进行了 11,874 次观察。使用样本外数据集和 5 倍交叉验证对预测进行了验证。模型产生的平均决定系数值为0.24-0.94,平均均方根误差为0.05 kW - 5.83 kW,平均绝对比例误差为0.20 - 1.33。结果表明,两种人工神经网络对使用变速驱动的压缩机(平均R2 = 0.8且无中殿预测)均有较好的结果,只有长短期记忆模型对使用开/关控制的压缩机给出了可接受的结果(平均R2 = 0.82且无中殿预测),而对装卸式空压机(构成中殿预测的模型)没有获得满意的结果。

原文摘要:

Air compressor systems are responsible for approximately 10% of the electricity consumed in United States and European Union industry. As many researches have proven the effectiveness of using Artificial Neural Network in air compressor performance prediction, there is still a need to forecast the air compressor electrical load profile. The objective of this study is to predict compressed air systems' electrical load profile, which is valuable to industry practitioners as well as software providers in developing better practice and tools for load management and look-ahead scheduling programs. Two artificial neural networks, Two-Layer Feed-Forward Neural Network and Long Short-Term Memory were used to predict an air compressors electrical load. Compressors with three different control mechanisms are evaluated with a total number of 11,874 observations. The forecasts were validated using out-of-sample datasets with 5-fold cross-validation. Models produced average coefficient of determination values from 0.24 to 0.94, average root-mean-square errors from 0.05 kW - 5.83 kW, and mean absolute scaled errors from 0.20 to 1.33. The results indicate that both artificial neural networks yield good results for compressors using variable speed drive (average R2 = 0.8 and no naïve forecasting), only the long short-term memory model gives acceptable results for compressors using on/off control (average R2 = 0.82 and no naïve forecasting), and no satisfactory results are obtained for load/unload type air compressors (models constituting naïve forecasting).

📚 2 运行结果

2.1 算例1

2.2 算例2

2.3 算例3

部分代码:

RMSE = sqrt(mean((y - yhat).^2)); % calculate root mean squared error

MASE = mean(abs(y-yhat))/(mean(abs(y(2:end)-y(1:end-1)))); % calculate mean absolute scaled error

mdl = fitlm(y,yhat);

R2 = mdl.Rsquared.Ordinary; % get R2 between observed and predicited

T = table (RMSE,MASE, R2,'RowNames',{'Working Days'}); % construct output table

T.Properties.DimensionNames{1} = 'Mode';

figure

subplot(2,1,1)

plot(y)

hold on

plot(yhat,'.-')

hold off

legend(["Measured" "Predicted"])

xlabel("Timestep (15-minutes)")

ylabel("Electrical Load (kW)")

title(["Forecast using FFNN";"Compressor 3"])

subplot(2,1,2)

stem(yhat - y)

xlabel("Timestep (15-minutes)")

ylabel("Error (kW)")

title("RMSE = " + RMSE)

🎉3 参考文献

部分理论来源于网络,如有侵权请联系删除。

🌈4 Matlab代码、数据、文章

相关推荐
卡梅德生物科技小能手6 分钟前
免疫检查点核心机制解析:CD274(分化抗原274)的信号通路与药物研发进展
经验分享·深度学习·生活
阿钱真强道12 分钟前
04 从 MLP 到 LeNet:sigmoid 和 softmax 到底在做什么?为什么输出层需要它们?
人工智能·机器学习·softmax·分类模型·sigmoid·深度学习入门
Forrit13 分钟前
Agent长期运行(Long-Running Tasks)实现方案与核心挑战
大数据·人工智能·深度学习
醉舞经阁半卷书128 分钟前
从零到1了解Agent Skills
人工智能·机器学习
冰西瓜60029 分钟前
深度学习的数学原理(二十二)—— Seq2Seq编码器-解码器基础框架
人工智能·深度学习
AI医影跨模态组学31 分钟前
J Immunother Cancer(IF=10.6)中山大学孙逸仙纪念医院陈柏深等团队:动态时间数据预测NSCLC新辅助免疫化疗主要病理反应
人工智能·深度学习·机器学习·医学·医学影像
liliwoliliwo36 分钟前
vision transformer
人工智能·深度学习·transformer
冰西瓜6001 小时前
深度学习的数学原理(二十一)—— 传统序列模型(RNN/LSTM)的缺陷
rnn·深度学习·lstm
清空mega2 小时前
动手学深度学习——卷积层详解:卷积核是怎么被学出来的?
人工智能·深度学习
cyyt2 小时前
深度学习周报(3.23~3.29)
人工智能·深度学习